The Alan Grayson Page

The Anthony Weiner Page

Guest Contributors


  • BN-Politics' administrators respect, but do not necessarily endorse, views expressed by our contributors. Our goal is to get the ideas out there. After that, they're on their own.
Blog powered by Typepad
Member since 05/2007

Blog Catalog

  • Liberalism Political Blogs - Blog Catalog Blog Directory



« A Pretend "Milestone": More Creative Spin from Obama's Campaign | Main | House Wants to Sue OPEC over Oil Prices »

May 21, 2008



Things seem to be stabilizing around 16 points, which is right around what those polls projected. Of course the ones you mentioned a few posts back had Hillary much closer, but those were outliers. The polling numbers were pretty accurate for both races today.

Actually, if you look at SUSA's numbers for KY, they haven't really moved since mid-February. The dynamics of the race in Kentucky were set a while ago.

D. Cupples


I don't know why you brought up KY's polls since Feb: I was talking about Oregon's.

I hadn't realized that the recent OR polls were outliers. I should have checked before doing that older post.


I'm just commenting generally on polling dynamics in the race. They've been pretty static. It would not have been that hard in early February to correctly predict the result of EVERY RACE since Super Tuesday. The only tough ones may have been Indiana and the pacific island races, all of which turned out razor thin.

It's worth noting that Obama did just fine among the "white working class" in Oregon. He doesn't have a "white working class" problem, he has a "Appalachian and deep south white working class" problem.

The comments to this entry are closed.