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« Taylor Marsh on 'The Progressive Rot at the Core of This Primary Season' | Main | Mukasey & McConnell Admit Spying Outside FISA's Bounds is Illegal »

February 23, 2008

Comments

JSmith

Burnt Orange Report has actually endorsed Obama and has a somewhat pro Obama bias, although they do seem to be reasonably objective.

In an earlier post they were predicting that even if Hillary won the popular vote in Texas with a 5% margin, Obama would still win more delegates.


JSmith

Pollster.com doesn't even include the Decision Analyst poll in its summary of Texas.

The is no way that the Decision Analyst poll could be right. Even with the Obama campaign carpet bombing the Texas radio air waves with adds, I don't see how he could have jumped up that much in such a short period of time.

Buck Naked Politics

JSmith, I've never heard of Data Analyst. Have you?

Buck Naked Politics

Sorry, I haven't heard of Decision Analyst.

JSmith

Never heard of Decision Analyst here either.

Their results don't make any sense and I have never heard of them. I will assume that their numbers are irrelevant until I see something along those lines from someone more credible.

I would be skeptical about any poll showing Obama with any decent margin ahead in Texas right now. It looks like it is almost tied in Texas, with Hillary a bit ahead. Although, the Obama campaign is running TONS of adds, at least on the radio in Houston. I hear an Obama add at least once or twice a day. Same add every time. I have not yet heard a single Hillary add. But…., they are still mostly tied in Texas with Hillary a little bit ahead is my best guess.

I totally don't buy them putting Obama ahead in Ohio. Especially not ahead in Ohio by 8 points when all of the other polls show him behind by 7 or more.

Unfortunately for Hillary, the Texas margin, excluding the fluke Decision Analyst poll, may be close enough to put Obama ahead in delegates in that crazy primacacus thing though.

From what I gather, if it is close, we may not know who won the most Texas delegates for at least a few days, if not more, after the election. The system in Texas is quite crazy. I gave up trying to figure the thing out, but it does look bad for Hillary in terms of delegates.

D. Cupples

JSmith,

That's what people are saying (looks bad for Hillary). Myself, I think it's all rather uncertain at this point. I don't see why the media doesn't just wait until after March 4 and discuss what actually will have happened.

But who am I?

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