Some Good News for Obama in the Polls
Gallup Daily tracking poll of registered voters has Obama at 49% and McCain at 43%. According to CNN, several polls give Obama a statistically significant lead in two of three key states:
.....................Iowa......Minnesota......Ohio
Obama.........55%............53%..........47%
McCain........40%............41%..........45%
A different Gallup poll finds that Obama has made some gains among specific groups since the Democratic Convention:
"In August, McCain led Obama among non-Hispanic white men by 21 points; his lead is now 13 points. Among white women, McCain led Obama by 4 points, and McCain leads by the same amount today. This means that McCain's relative position among women has improved.
"(Gallup's previous analysis shows that Obama has a huge lead among both black men and black women, and that he also leads among Hispanics, regardless of gender. The only racial or ethnic group among which there is a notable gender gap is non-Hispanic whites.)
"One gains a better understanding of these gender differences among white voters by breaking the data into partisan groups.
"Overall, this analysis shows that Obama's gains over the last week among white men are fairly straightforward. They occurred among both independent and Democratic men. There has been no change among Republican white men.
"On the other hand, Obama's gains among independent and Democratic women appear to have been mostly offset by McCain's gains among Republican women."
Memeorandum has commentary.
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